Broad Street Hockey wonders if the Flyers are looking to trade Dan Carcillo or Jody Shelley. When I asked Travis Hughes who he would trade, he said he wasn’t sure. My intention was to respond to him on Twitter but it is too complex of an issue to discuss in 140 character chunks.
It has been said that Shelley is a great clubhouse leader and that is something that could be invaluable to the Flyers in the postseason. Carcillo has more scoring potential, is more versatile, and can be used up and down the lineup. However, one could make the argument that his offensive skill hasn’t shown up on the scoresheet this season. In nearly identical amounts of ice time this season, Jody Shelley has two goals and four points while Dan Carcillo has three goals and five points. Shelley is also a +3, whereas Carcillo is a -7.
Each player brings a different set of attributes to the tables and, as Travis also suggested, both have their flaws. Boiled down to its simplest form, the Flyers would possibly be losing more on the ice by trading Carcillo and more in the locker room by trading Shelley. Either way, it is reasonable to assume that, barring any injuries, both players will be scratched through the postseason. Shelley can still contribute off the ice, though.
The underlying question is: Why are the Flyers looking to trade one of these players and what would they gain?
A recent rumor suggested that the Flyers were shopping Nikolay Zherdev but couldn’t find any takers. Moving Carcillo or Shelley could be Plan B. If they do not need to trade anyone, it would make sense to keep the cupboard stocked for the playoffs because you never know when you will get bitten by the injury bug. If it is a question of restocking some draft picks, then they might as well get a return on Carcillo, who is an unrestricted free agent at the end of this season and will probably not be re-signed. Most likely, they are shopping players because they need to make room.
The Flyers are probably not finding space for another player, though. Brian Lawton recently stated Philadelphia will have an overage much like Chicago did at the end of last year. Getting one of these two players off the books could help keep the team under the cap without making a significant dent in the lineup. From a financial perspective, there isn’t really a clear cut winner here, as Shelley only makes $25,o00 more than Carcillo but every penny counts.
The big difference comes down to the contract length. Carcillo could net a mid-tier draft pick at best since his contract ends after this season. It wouldn’t be much but the Flyers are hurting for picks. Moving Shelley probably would get a similar return or less but, on the other hand, such a deal would provide more long-term benefits. Shelley still has two more years left on his inflated contract and trading him would give the Flyers more tagging space to negotiate a deal with Ville Leino. It would be sad to see him moved but, when it gets down to the brass tacks, it makes the most sense to trade Jody Shelley.
Who would you trade?